CIES predicts Tottenham Hotspur squad value drop if season is void

The football world isn’t exempt from the coronavirus pandemic gripping the world. The current season is in limbo with a shroud of uncertainty surrounding the fate of the current campaign.

According to the Centre for Sports Studies Football Observatory (CIES), a player’s value could experience a sharp drop if no football is played until the end of June. Tottenham Hotspur are no exception.

Spurs’ squad was the ninth most valuable in Europe a fortnight ago. According to the CIES algorithm, the value of Tottenham’s squad could plummet from  €787million to €560million. A significant drop of 28.8%.

This proposed valuation will see us drop a spot to tenth in the most valuable list.

CIES predicts a fall in valuation for Teams across Europe if the season goes unfinished

According to the report, the extent of the decrease varies based on a number of factors such as the players’ age, contract duration, career path, and recent performance.

The greatest loss is observed in ageing footballers with short-term contracts who played fewer matches during the current season than in the previous campaign.

It is possible that the likes of Jan Vertonghen and Michel Vorm being in the final months of their contract could have experienced a similar downturn. The likes of Harry Kane, Moussa Sissoko, and Son Heung-Min have also been out injured which could have adversely affected our metrics.

Manchester City were the biggest losers

No exceptions

The biggest losers will be defending Premier League champions Manchester City whose value will drop by €412million, a decrease of 30.3%. The Cityzens will still cling on to the second spot in the list, just behind European champions Liverpool.

The other English teams in the top 10 include Chelsea in fourth and Manchester United in fifth. Arch-rivals Arsenal will occupy the 15th spot, one behind Leicester City.

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The greatest potential percentage loss per club was measured for Olympique de Marseille with 38%. Conversely, the lowest change was recorded for another French Ligue 1 team Stade Brestois with 16%. No team was exempt from experiencing a decrease in valuation.